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NOAA Upping Hurricane Outlook to 15-21 named storms as Fred approaches. Real estate insurance coverage law blog



The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is increasing the prospects for the hurricane season in the Atlantic despite the fact that it is over a month since a new storm formed. The new outlook requires 15-21 named storms, of which 7-10 of them are predicted to be hurricanes. This is compared to the original prediction of 13-20 named storms and 6-10 hurricanes. NOAA gives a 65% probability of having a season above average.

NOAA did not go on its model for major hurricanes, which still stand on 3-5 storms that are category 3 or higher.

Elsa was the last major storm and was formed on 1 July. The storm disappeared eight days later and brought heavy rainfall and winds to certain areas, including the now infamous scenes of some New York City subway stations that flooded. It also set a record as the earliest "E-named" storm ever formed.

Despite the recent dormancy in tropical activity, NOAA experts rely on the combination of a low vertical wind shear, a strong African monsoon, and above-average sea temperatures as a basis for increasing the number of predicted storms. NOAA believes that these factors will create a favorable environment for storm development as we approach the peak hurricane season. Tropical Storm Peace was recently formed, disappeared into a tropical wave and is now expected to return to tropical storm status as it heads toward the northern Gulf Coast.

There is some saving grace, as forecasters noted that sea surface temperatures are not as high as they were at this time last season. This can help keep the number of storms below 30 we saw during the last hurricane season.

Policyholders must take the necessary precautions now before they are hit by a major hurricane. We recommend that you check your insurance to determine if you have adequate coverage for your property. Policyholders should also develop an action plan to secure their property and protect their families in the event of floods.

We have created a hurricane checklist that describes the proactive measures that policyholders can take to prevent any damage to hurricane insurance. Be sure that this hurricane season continues and pay attention to local evacuation orders. If your home suffers hurricane damage and you need help with your insurance damage, you know Merlin Law Group is here to help.


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