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Mapping COVID: 1 year in!



On March 20, 2020, I started tracking COVID – specifically the daily number of new cases, deaths and recoveries. I started this task for several reasons: I like data, I would not go anywhere for a while, but more specifically so that I could discuss the reality of speech in an intelligent way.

Clearly discernible trends have emerged in the past year. "Waves", as some call them, are obvious in the charts.

In this essay, I provide the charts that have evolved from my nightly tracking. Although I have developed my own opinions and conclusions, NO conclusions are drawn, NO comment is given and NO opinion is given in this report. This is data only. You have to draw your own conclusions, give your own comment and develop your own opinion.

Methodology

Information used to develop these charts has been tracked and recorded NIGHTLY since March 20, 2020. All information used as part of this tracking program is retrieved from WorldOMeter.com, Johns Hopkins and several government websites. Although each of these sources of information is committed to providing accurate data, neither they nor I can guarantee the information.

Since one day is not a trend, these charts apply a rolling average of 1

4 days . A 14-day rolling average was chosen because it removes the extreme peaks and troughs found in daily bills and even the peaks found in a 7-day rolling average. When this 14-day rolling average is used NOT the description for that chart specifies the time period applied.

Data reported in these charts represent slightly more than one year between March 20, 2020 and March 31, 2021.

The only comment provided is a description of the information shown in the chart.

Shall we start? I hope you find this information interesting if it is not valuable.

Daily new cases

This charts the daily number of cases, again based on a rolling average of 14 days.

[19659002] Daily Deaths

The following chart shows daily deaths applying the rolling average of 14 days. daily mortality. The death rate presented in this chart is calculated by dividing the number of deaths on a given day by the number of new cases for that day. Although it is not an exact indication of rolling mortality, as this chart uses the rolling average of 14 days of falls and deaths, it is somewhat representative of the actual mortality rate.

Recoveries

Below is the 14-day rolling recovery average.

New cases compared to recycling

Two data points are compared in the following diagram: 1) the daily new cases; and 2) the daily recoveries. The daily new cases are represented by the blue line and the orange line tracks recoveries. Again, they use the 14-day rolling averages.

Combined comparison

Three important data points are compared in the following diagrams: 1) Total reported cases; 2) Total recycling; and 3) Totally active. UNLIKE previous charts, this chart does NOT use a 14-day moving average – this graphical chart shows actual daily figures.

The blue line is total reported cases; the orange indicates recoveries ; and gray traces active cases.

US share of total deaths

According to WorldOMeter, COVID has affected 216 countries and territories – indeed worldwide. The United States accounts for about 4.29% of the world's population. This chart tracks the proportion of global COVID deaths that have occurred in the United States.

Like the previous comparative chart, this chart is NOT on a 14-day rolling, this traces the daily share from March 20, 2020 to March 31, 2021.

MONTHLY SCHEDULE

Below are three charts that provides monthly information rather than a 14-day rolling average or even a daily charting of numbers. The following diagram compares new cases, new deaths and new recoveries for the months of April 2020 to March 2021 (12 months).

Monthly new cases

Monthly new deaths

Monthly new recoveries ]

Overall Comparison

This last chart is essentially a trace of the total COVID number from March 21, 2020 to March 31, 2021. This chart compares all COVIDs number with the population of the United States . Applicable color codes are:

  • Dark blue (top): US population
  • Red / orange: Total number of reported cases
  • Yellow: Total recoveries
  • Gray: Active cases (Total current) [19659034] Light blue : Total deaths

The vertical axis is in 5 million steps.

Topics
covid-19


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