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Lloyd’s predictive model predicts England to win



Lloyd’s of London predicts England will beat Brazil in the 2022 World Cup final based on a model it used to successfully pick the last two tournament winners.

The model is based on the insurance value of players from each team. England comes best, followed by France and Brazil.

Based on these figures, the Lloyd’s model predicts that England will finish top of Group B, before securing knockout wins against Senegal, France, Spain and then Brazil in the final.

The same model correctly identified Germany as the World Cup winner in 2014 and France in 2018.

The assessment of each insurance value includes a variety of metrics such as wages, sponsorship, age and position on the field.

It found that the average insurable value of a player from England or France is more than the entire Costa Rican squad.

The research is designed to highlight the need for athletes at all levels and in all sports to consider their insurance protection packages and coverage.

Bruce Carnegie-Brown, Lloyd̵

7;s chairman, said: “Insurance can play a key role in building confidence and resilience, knowing you’re covered if the worst happens. As Lloyd’s goes for a hat-trick of correct World Cup predictions, we aim shining a spotlight on the need for protection at all levels of the game – professional and amateur – to help clubs, competitors and communities make braver decisions both on and off the game. pitch.”


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