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Colorado State raises forecast for Atlantic hurricane season



The Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University in Fort Collins has increased its forecast for a hurricane season for the Atlantic that is well above average this year.

The updated forecast released on Friday calls for 20 named storms compared to an average of 14.4 for the period 1991 to 2020. This includes 10 hurricanes against an average of 7.2 and five major hurricanes against an average of 3.2.

Named storm days are fixed at 95 compared to an average of 69.4; hurricane days at 40 against an average of 27; and 11 major hurricane days compared to an average of 7.4.

“We expect a probability above the normal for major hurricanes that land along the continental coast of the United States and in the Caribbean,”

; said a brief statement attributed to researcher Philip J. Klotzbach, professor Michael M. Bell and doctoral researcher Alex DesRosiers.

They said that either cool neutral El Niño southern oscillation or weak La Niña conditions will dominate in the coming months and that sea surface temperatures on average over parts of the tropical Atlantic are above normal, while most of the subtropical and mid-tropical latitude east North Atlantic is much warmer than normal.


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